Is Las Vegas' housing market ready to make a comeback? - 2-11-11-11

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Las Vegas has suffered through the housing bust like few others places and still has further to fall. 但是，這些天很多房地產投資者和購房者打賭，它的準備東山再起。 But these days many real estate investors and home buyers are betting that it's poised to stage a comeback. -----罪惡之城的都市區領導在連續 22個月的抵押貸款違約率八月和住房價格暴跌從他們 2006年的峰值高達 60％的國家通過，根據 RealtyTrac的。 Sin City's metro area led the nation in mortgage defaults for 22 straight months through August and home prices plunged a whopping 60% from their 2006 peak, according to RealtyTrac. 和價格仍然有進一步下跌。 And prices still have further to fall. 財務分析公司Fiserv公司，在拉斯維加斯的項目住宅價格可能會下降到明年6月另有16％。 Financial analytics company, Fiserv, projects home prices in Las Vegas could fall another 16% by next June.

133打印 Print 評論 Comment 但投資者和家庭的建設者，也有足夠的積極的跡象，現在開始在拉斯維加斯博彩。 But to investors and home builders, there are enough positive signs to start betting on Vegas now.

，特別是銀行收回的房屋銷售，拿起顯著。 Home sales, especially of bank repossessions, have picked up significantly. 今年迄今已售出近36000家，通過 9月30日，與 2010年同期相比增長 11％，根據全國房地產經紀人協會首席經濟學家勞倫斯雲，。 Nearly 36,000 homes have been sold so far this year through September 30, an 11% increase compared with the same period in 2010, according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors.

因此，新的和現有住房庫存在過去一年大幅縮水。 As a result, inventory of both new and existing homes has shrunk significantly over the past year. 目前，大約有10,000單一家庭成屋市場，根據蒂娜，一個地產集團，拉斯維加斯房地產經紀人的總經理大衛。 Currently, there are about 10,000 single-family homes on the market, according to David Tina, general manager of Realty One Group, a Las Vegas real estate broker. 隨著目前每月近5000個單位的銷售步伐，這只是一個為期兩個月的供應。 With the current sales pace near 5,000 units per month, that's just a two-month supply. 通常，這些都是非常健康的市場可以看出存貨。 Typically, those are inventories seen in extremely healthy markets.

蒂娜說，“”我認為香港經濟復甦將是緩慢的的，但新家定價接近其底部。 "I think the turnaround will be slow, but new home pricing is close to its bottom," said Tina.

事物是仰視。 And things are looking up. 都會區在2006年年中以來的胸圍先打增加20萬新居民，躍升 11％或全國增長速度的兩倍以上。 The metro area added 200,000 new residents since the bust first hit in mid-2006, an 11% jump or more than twice the national growth rate.

房價預測：當地市場跟踪 Home price projections: Your local market tracked
最近湧入的部分原因是由於就業增長。 Part of the recent influx is due to job growth. 地方經濟記錄在幾個行業，包括酒店和餐飲行業，衛生，教育，商業服務和零售就業增長，根據 Metrostudy，公司財務分析。 The local economy has recorded job gains in several industries, including the hotel and restaurant trades, health and education, business services and retail, according to Metrostudy, a financial analytics firm. 九月，失業率從 12個月前的15.6％下降到13.6％，美國大都市地區之間的第九屆以來的最大跌幅。 In September, the unemployment rate fell to 13.6% from 15.6% 12 months earlier, the ninth biggest decline among US metro areas.

不過，有一個源源不斷進入市場，拖動價格走低止贖。 Still, there is a steady stream of foreclosures coming onto the market and dragging prices lower. 然而，投資者仍然未受影響。 Yet, investors remain unfazed.

格倫 Plantone，一個拉斯維加斯的經紀人和投資者處理止贖物業的大多是這些天，說他看到外地購房者大量湧入， Glenn Plantone, a Vegas-based broker and investor who deals mostly in foreclosed properties these days, said he's seen an influx of foreign buyers, 尤其是來自中國和加拿大。 especially from Canada and China. 去年，他促成了25個銷售，但今年他已經高達 65。 Last year, he brokered 25 sales but this year he's already up to 65.

“今年，我將我的業務增加三倍，”他說。 "I'll triple my business this year," he said.

肯約翰遜，房地產在佛羅里達國際大學教授解釋說，事實上，毆打的價格下降的確切原因投資者現在開始 NAB屬性。 In fact, the beaten down prices are exactly why investors are starting to nab the properties now, explained Ken H. Johnson, a professor of real estate at Florida International University. 院的成本約在拉斯維加斯的三分之一不到全國平均水平的基礎上平均價格相比，收入中位數。 Homes cost about one-third less in Vegas than the national average based on median prices compared with median incomes.
對於那些願意堅持下去的投資者有很大的潛力。 For investors who are willing to stick it out there's a lot of potential.

“拉斯維加斯已經敲定，但是，作為 [經濟]復甦，在市場上行將有顯著的，在城裡買了去年的第二個家，業務主管亞當說：”科菲。 "Las Vegas has been hammered, but as the [economy] recovers, the upside in the market there will be significant," said Adam Coffey, a business executive who bought a second home in town last year.

0:00 / 2:47 贖家庭的第二次機會 0:00 / 2:47 Giving foreclosure families a second chance
拉斯維加斯的生活，溫暖，乾燥的氣候和它的吸引力，成本低，使一個目標，尤其是退休人員和購買度假屋的人。 Las Vegas' low cost of living, warm, dry climate and its attractions, make it a destination, especially for retirees and people looking to buy vacation homes. “對於成年人來說，拉斯維加斯代表迪斯尼世界”，科菲說，“這是成年人的地方去得到樂趣。” "For adults, Las Vegas represents Disney World," said Coffey, "It's the place where adults go to have fun."

拉斯維加斯住房市場面臨的最大的逆風，近三分之二的所有業主欠他們的抵押貸款超過他們的家園都值得。 The biggest headwind the Vegas housing market faces is that nearly two-thirds of all homeowners owe more on their mortgage than their homes are worth.

根據 CoreLogic的數據，63.3％的業主有水下他們的抵押貸款。 According to CoreLogic data, 63.3% of homeowners there are underwater on their mortgages. 作為一個群體，拉斯維加斯抵押貸款借款人欠他們的抵押貸款超過他們房子的價值約 20％以上。 As a group, Las Vegas mortgage borrowers owe about 20% more on their mortgages than the value of their homes. 許多人會失去他們的家園，以贖。 Many will lose their homes to foreclosure.

房價為首的三重浸 Home prices headed for triple dip
但所有那些失去家園，還有的其他人看到它作為一個機會。 But for all of those who lose their homes, there are others who see it as an opportunity. 鎮所有銷售超過 50％的房屋止贖，Plantone說。 More than 50% of all sales in town are foreclosures, said Plantone.

最近，他有一個客戶 40個不同的銀行國有資產的出價。 Recently, he had a client who made bids on 40 different bank-owned properties. 每次他出價。 He was outbid each time. 投資者購買港幣 140,000元的，而不是四個新的1400平方英尺的家園在北拉斯維加斯的清盤。 The investor wound up buying four new 1,400 square-foot homes in North Las Vegas for $140,000 each instead. 他的租金為每月$ 1,495美元，這給他立即對他的投資回報。 He rents them out for $1,495 a month apiece, which give him immediate returns on his investment.
一旦住房市場復甦，他能賣的屬性，一個健康的回報。 Once the housing market recovers he could sell the properties for a healthy return, too. 這是很難被擊敗那些賠率。 It's hard to beat those kinds of odds. 

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發布時間：2011年11月9日：上午05:53 ET First Published: November 9, 2011: 5:53 AM ET ----CNN NEWS----.